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July 5, 2005
A Sad Update, or How Even Teggers Can Make Mistakes... Stupid me. I should have talked to my insurance company first before getting the appraisal done. After receiving the policy endorsement forms to sign, I saw that it showed that I wanted a maximum limit of $2,750, or "actual cash value", whichever was less. This was not what I expected, so I called the insurance company and talked to someone in Claims (yes, I should have done that in the first place...). It turns out that the appraisal means absolutely nothing to them. What counts is the condition of the vehicle at the time of the loss claim. The claims adjuster told me to check AutoTrader and see what comparable vehicles are going for in the real market. That is the sort of thing they base their loss valuation on. My car, according to listings in AutoTrader, is probably worth around $1,000 to $1,500 as a total loss. And if you get improvements done to the car? What counts to increase the car's value? According to the claims adjuster, "normal wear-and-tear" items do not count. Engine rebuilds, transmission rebuilds, new clutch, none of that counts. So what does count? Aftermarket rims, new paint job, aftermarket spoiler,custom stereo, that kind of thing. The claims adjuster did confirm that the recovery value of such add-ons is about 30%. In summary, the appraisal was a waste of time and money. And it is shameful that the appraiser, who has been in business for 25 years, did not tell me about any of this. Guess he just wanted my $165 bucks. If you decide to get your car appraised, call your insurance company first! What I was originally looking for is called "Agreed-Value", which is not offered in my province's tightly-regulated insurance market, except for classic and collector cars. None of the foregoing changes my math in the document below, except for the addition of the appraised value, and possibly some of the depreciation amount. Anyway, on to the original article: |
| Now let's
do some math: A new car will
require several thousand as a down
payment. Let's say the car will cost you $17,000. You want to get your
payments down, so you pony up $3,000 as down payment. Now you have
$14,000 to pay back in, say, 5 years. At 6.25% for a bank loan, that's
a payment of about $270 per month for five years. Plus tax. Plus
repairs. Plus maintenance. Plus that downpayment (money no longer
yours). And you can NOT miss a payment during that
time, or risk repossession. Your actual cost of that new car
is probably closer to $360 per month for five years. That's a total
expenditure of $21,600. And at the end of that time you've got a car
worth around $10,000. This means it's cost you $11,600 in five years
for the privilege of driving this new car. That's almost $195 per month
over five years. Now suppose we keep this car well past its paid-off point. Suppose we keep another five years. We've paid off the dealer or the bank, so there are no payments to make. $270 comes off the cost each month. But at the same time, the car's value will probably decline to about $2,000 by the time it's ten years old. So you're saving $270 per month, but you're also losing $135 per month in value. Therefore your cost of carrying the car is $135 per month, plus repairs and maintenance. If you budget for $1,600 a year for upkeep, you're up to the cost of a new car again, but then you'll end up with basically a new car anyway after all those repairs. And most of those things are elective, meaning you don't HAVE to come up with the cash every month, but can do it when you have the money, and you can decide what's worth fixing and what's not. With proper maintenance, it's unlikely you'll have major repairs before the car is more than ten years old, so $1,600 per year is a pretty generous upkeep budget. Once the car is over twelve years old, it essentially stops declining in value, so there's $135 more per month that can go into your pocket or into upkeep. This means your carrying costs have gone from $135 per month down to $0. And if you want to keep the car like-new, the potential upkeep budget is now $3,240 per year before you get back to the carrying costs of a new car. That allows for a LOT of fixup. And if you don't use the whole available fixup amount (and you won't even be close if you've been diligent about repairs and maintenance), then it's now cheaper than a new car, even if something very big breaks. If you don't require $3,240 per year in fixup, the surplus money can stay in the bank, earning interest (however little), and eventually going towards big-ticket items like engine rebuilds. My usual actual upkeep costs every year are less than $1,200. For just one year (2003) the car cost me over $3,000 in repairs. I had scads of work done, and did not skimp at all: When the one balljoint broke, every balljoint in the front end was replaced with OEM, including both upper A-arms, both tie-rod ends, and the steering rack boots; when the head gasket failed, I took the opportunity to replace the timing belt, water pump, the rad, and a bunch of other small parts. All with OEM, again, except for the rad. This investment has paid off, as the car was immediately back to its usual boring, uneventful self and has remained so since. My mechanic thought I was nuts at the time. But then, he hadn't done the math... And if you get the car appraised, you have that added bonus of being able to recover more than "basic transportation", plus 30% of any major repairs. For a $165 appraisal, my car is now worth $2,750, a minimum of $1,250 more than "basic transportation", which is just icing on the cake. (Warning: See the Update, above). |